How to Generate Worst-Case Scenarios When Testing Already Deployed Systems Against Unexpected Situations

Authors

Francisco Zapata, The University of Texas at El PasoFollow
Ricardo Pineda, The University of Texas at El PasoFollow
Martine Ceberio, The University of Texas at El PasoFollow

Publication Date

3-2013

Comments

Technical Report: UTEP-CS-13-10a

To appear in Proceedings of the Joint World Congress of the International Fuzzy Systems Association and Annual Conference of the North American Fuzzy Information Processing Society IFSA/NAFIPS'2013, Edmonton, Canada, June 24-28, 2013.

Abstract

Before a complex system is deployed, it is tested -- but it is tested against known operational mission, under several known operational scenarios. Once the system is deployed, new possible unexpected and/or uncertain operational scenarios emerge. It is desirable to develop methodologies to test the system against such scenarios. A possible methodology to test the system would be to generate the worst case scenario that we can think of -- to understand, in principle, the behavior of the system. So, we face a question of generating such worst-case scenarios. In this paper, we provide some guidance on how to generate such worst-case scenarios.