A lingering grudge in the face of a power transition; the French-Canadian sovereignty movement in perspective

Sergio Villarreal Alvarez, University of Texas at El Paso

Abstract

I hypothesize that an individual that has experienced a power transition, as measured by income, will be more likely to challenge the status quo than one that has not. The hypothesis is tested by relying on a mathematical probability model and is then corroborated through a qualitative analysis. This analysis was accomplished by using a dataset that was collected in Québec during the time of the referendum; the final vote of each individual was contrasted with their relative income and dissatisfaction with the federation. ^ While income alone will not bring about a secessionist vote, the increase in the likelihood of such a vote can be contrasted across income levels to show the effects hypothesized. The result being that when we control for dissatisfaction at a middle point, those voters with low income will be less likely to vote for secession than those with a high income at the same level of dissatisfaction. Again, I find that at middle levels of dissatisfaction "income" has a decisive role in determining an individual's vote in the referendum.^

Subject Area

Political Science, International Law and Relations

Recommended Citation

Villarreal Alvarez, Sergio, "A lingering grudge in the face of a power transition; the French-Canadian sovereignty movement in perspective" (2009). ETD Collection for University of Texas, El Paso. AAI1473901.
http://digitalcommons.utep.edu/dissertations/AAI1473901

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