An empirical analysis of the Ciudad Juarez homicides: The impact beyond an international border

Pedro Nino, University of Texas at El Paso

Abstract

Homicides, induced by the drug war, in Ciudad Juárez drastically increased beginning in 2007. Few studies have been carried out which assess the economic impacts of crime and homicides. Furthermore, the existing literature lacks regional assessment efforts (Rios 2008). Because of geographical proximity and close economic ties, this paper reviews some of the potential impacts the Ciudad Juárez homicides may have on the El Paso regional economy. A time series data approach is employed to assess potential impacts on factors including the El Paso metro business cycle index, El Paso employment, and El Paso retail sales. Findings indicate that fluctuations in the number of Ciudad Juárez homicides impact the El Paso metro business cycle index and El Paso employment in a direct and statistically significant manner while the results for retail sales are inconclusive.^

Subject Area

Economics, Commerce-Business|Economics, Labor

Recommended Citation

Nino, Pedro, "An empirical analysis of the Ciudad Juarez homicides: The impact beyond an international border" (2012). ETD Collection for University of Texas, El Paso. AAI1533260.
http://digitalcommons.utep.edu/dissertations/AAI1533260

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