Why Political Scientists Are Wrong 15% of the Time

Authors

Olga Kosheleva, The University of Texas at El PasoFollow
Vladik Kreinovich, The University of Texas at El PasoFollow

Publication Date

7-2015

Comments

Technical Report: UTEP-CS-15-61

Published in Journal of Innovative Technology and Education, 2015, Vol. 2, No. 1, pp. 37-42.

Abstract

An experimental study has shown that among situations when political scientists claimed that a political outcome was impossible, this outcome actually occurred in 15% of the cases. In this paper, we provide a possible explanation for this empirical fact.